Lotto 47 numbers

Psychic Lottery predictions

2022.12.09 22:18 Psychic Lottery predictions

A sub for people to predict upcoming Lotto numbers for MegaMillions, Powerball, EuroMillions and more
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2019.03.03 04:56 masonator1000 DayzEquinox

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2019.04.09 01:26 guavawater feemagers

Please read the rules before posting and flair your posts. feemagers was created for teenagers, especially girls and members of the LGBTQ+ community, to embrace their coming-of-age in a healthy way. Everyone is welcome, regardless of gender identity or sexual orientation. This is a supportive environment for all teens to have discussions, post memes, make friends, and ask for advice. LGBTQ+ safe space. Moderating is done for the good of the community to keep it friendly and graceful.
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2023.03.20 19:05 synthead An old screenshot from when I was building shitbradsays.com!

An old screenshot from when I was building shitbradsays.com! submitted by synthead to phonelosers [link] [comments]

2023.03.20 19:02 AutoModerator 📊 Global Gambling Statistics

📊 Global Gambling Statistics
Online gambling is a diverse multi-billion dollar industry. Have you ever wondered how gambling habits differ from country to country, which casino games are more popular and what interesting facts are there about women and gambling?!..
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Keep reading to gain insight into some statistics provided through market research.
Let's Talk Numbers! 🔢
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• The global gambling market grew from $449.04 billion in 2022 to $702.45 billion in 2023 at a compound annual growth rate of 56.4%.
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• More than 32.2 million people visited Las Vegas casinos in 2021 which is almost double 2020's figure.
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• Slot machines are the most popular casino games in the United States. It is said to constitute approximately 70% of all revenue generated by casinos.
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• Lottery accounted for about 47% of all revenue generated by the gaming industry in Italy in 2020. Sports betting and slot machines accounted for 31% and 21%, respectively.
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• In Canada, 56% of women report having gambled in the past year, compared to 48% of men.
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• In the United States, women are reported to play lottery games and scratch cards than men, while men engaged in sports betting and casino games.
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The stats above will keep changing as time goes on because the gambling industry is ever-growing. We're eagerly anticipating what is to come and how much the gambling space would evolve over the next couple of years.
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💚 Keep up with Bets.io for more gambling understanding!
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PS: All of the gambling statistics in this article were gathered from, but not limited to AskGamblers.
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https://preview.redd.it/vtohxjr7luoa1.png?width=1200&format=png&auto=webp&s=755c480dd1b22711a5877ac2c2b2ce0b183957fa
#onlinecasino #cryptogaming #gambling
submitted by AutoModerator to bets_io [link] [comments]

2023.03.20 19:00 ronindog [Main] Tudor Prince Date Chronograph Reverse Panda 79280P - 100 spots at $42/ea with 0 spot limit. PayPal only. No comments, F&F.

Please fill out the form below. You may enter text to the right of the '' symbol. Do NOT use or it will break the form.
Item Name: Tudor Prince Date Chronograph Reverse Panda 79280P
Price: $4200
# of Spots: 100
Price Justification: $4,700 on 8/28/22 Watch Only https://www.reddit.com/Watchexchange/comments/x06w56/wtswtt_tudor_prince_date_tiger_chrono_the_mini/
Price Justification: $3,950 on 8/5/22 Watch Only https://www.reddit.com/Watchexchange/comments/wgz1i8/wts_price_lowered_even_more_tudor_prince_date/
Price Justification: $3,150 on 8/24/22 Watch Only AM Bracelet https://www.reddit.com/Watchexchange/comments/wwmysx/wts_tudor_prince_chronograph_nontiger_79280p/
Price Justification: $4,900 on 9/4/22 Watch Only https://www.watchuseek.com/threads/fsot-tudor-tiger-prince-date-chronograph-79280p-freshly-serviced.5431457/
Price Justification: $5,800 on 11/15/22 Full Kit https://www.rolexforums.com/showthread.php?t=879402&highlight=79280
Call spots? Y
Spot limit per person? No
Location/Country: USA
Will ship international? USA Only
Timestamp/pics: https://imgur.com/a/QSS7C2K
Escrow: Y u/ronindog for mke_watchguy
Description: Tudor Prince Date Chronograph Reference 79280P. H serial dating to 2002, on original Tudor bracelet with clasp and end link codes dating to 2002. Reverse panda dial, which is more rare than the traditional panda. Red accent second hand. Watch runs flawlessly, pushers and crown lock, all functions operating as they should.
Mod approval link: https://mod.reddit.com/mail/all/1e6usm

PayPal Info: https://www.paypal.me/ronindog
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Tip BlobAndHisBoy
Number of vacant slots: 100
Number of unpaid users: 0
Number of unpaid slots: 0
This slot list is created and updated by The EDC Raffle Tool by BlobAndHisBoy.
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submitted by ronindog to WatchURaffle [link] [comments]

2023.03.20 18:54 AmonistlinUYA [NM] Retired Winter Bundle (10267 Gingerbread House and 40338 Christmas Tree) with two FREE sets (40487 Sailboat Adventure and 30343 McLaren Elva) - 123 spots at $2/ea

Item Name Set Number: 10267 Gingerbread House and 40338 Christmas Tree
Free Sets: 40487 Sailboat Adventure and 30343 McLaren Elva
Lego Price: 143 (10267, BL 3M US) + 78 (40338, BE 03/20)
Shipping: $25 Discounted USPS Parcel Select Ground (20x12x6, 5lbs, 43212 to 98038, Insured for $250)
Raffle Total/Spots: $246 / 123 Spots at $2/ea
Price justification: Brickeconomy and Bricklink
Call spots: Y
Spot limit per person: N
Duration of spot limit: N/A
Location(Country): USA
Will ship international: No, sorry.
Timestamp pics: https://imgur.com/a/7bRuNqq
Description:
Payment required w/in 5 minutes of raffle filling. 5 minutes for drama.
PayPal payments are to be Friends and Family only with NO COMMENTS. CashApp payments should have NO COMMENTS. Comments will result in a permanent ban

PayPal Info: https://www.paypal.me
Cash App Info: https://cash.app
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Tip BlobAndHisBoy
Number of vacant slots: 113
Number of unpaid users: 0
Number of unpaid slots: 0
This slot list is created and updated by The EDC Raffle Tool by BlobAndHisBoy.
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submitted by AmonistlinUYA to lego_raffles [link] [comments]

2023.03.20 18:45 SunnySunshine2022 Are you the Lotto Winner? Ontario Lotto Max winner days away from losing out on $373,000 prize - Check your tickets PLEASE…

Just in case you’re a winner and have not checked your ticket. You only have a few days left to claim your prize.
Someone in Ontario who won a huge Lotto Max prize – and probably doesn't know it – is just days away from losing the money.
According to the OLG, a ticket, which ended up being worth $373,118.20, was purchased in the April 1, 2022 draw in Scarborough.
The winning Lotto Max numbers in that draw were 07, 10, 18, 29, 38, 43, 50 and the bonus number was 41.
According to Lotto Max rules, players have one year from the draw date to claim their winnings, or the prize expires.
submitted by SunnySunshine2022 to Scarborough [link] [comments]

2023.03.20 18:33 OnlyLittleFly What would Luka need to do in order to win the scoring record

With the Dallas' desperate race to clinch a decent playoff spot, it's not really any priority right now, but I wondered how much would Luka need to score in the remaining games in order to overtake Joel in the top scorer race.
First off the groundwork - Dallas has 11 games to go, while 76ers have 12 more games. Embiid has scored 1909 points for 33.49 per game, while Luka has 1879 points for 32,96.
If we assume Embiid is going to average his 33.5 until the end of the season, he would finish his season at 2311 total points in 69 games (nice).
Therefore, Luka needs to bomb away a crazy 36.9 points per game 11-games streak to give him 2312 total points at the end. Considering that (excluding Wilt) only Kobe and Jordan managed to get a 9-game streak of 40 points and that Harden a.k.a Black Luka "only" managed to get a 5-game 40 point streak, this seems like a pretty tall order.
So the only possible path is that Joel somehow drops in production and gives Luka a fighting chance. Let's look at couple of scenarios:
- Embiid scores 30 points for the rest of the season / Luka needs to score 33,18 points per game- Embiid scores 27 points for the rest of the season / Luka needs to score 29,47 points per game- Embiid scores 25 points for the rest of the season / Luka needs to score 27,62 points per game
In simpler terms, when you will be looking at box scores, Luka better be scoring 3-5 more points per game as Embiid did in the previous game.
Edit: small number correction after double-check, divided Luka's numbers with Embiid's game count.
submitted by OnlyLittleFly to Mavericks [link] [comments]

2023.03.20 18:29 flyinghorseduck 120 Types of Arrows

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This arrow is different to others you have used and seems special somehow. Roll a d120 to find out what it does!
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Roll Result
1 Arrow of Healing - Deals 1d4 damage, heals 1d8 hp.
2 Arrow of Returning - After firing and striking something, the arrow will vanish in a puff of smoke and return to your quiver.
3 Choke Arrow - When the arrow makes contact with an object, it explodes into a cloud of noxious fumes in a sphere with a radius of 5 feet. Those inside choke as if you had casted the Stinking Cloud spell with DC 12.
4 Arrow of Missile Attraction - on a hit, the target becomes missile attractive. Any missile / projectile that passes within 20ft of the victim has a 2 in 6 chance of being redirected towards the victim.
5 Superior Smoke Arrow - Creates a Fog Cloud after 2 turns.
6 Moss Arrow - When this arrow is fired at a surface, creeping moss rapidly spreads to a circle with radius ten feet around the point of contact. Walking or climbing on the moss grants advantage on stealth checks to remain silent.
7 Sleep Arrow - using sleep powder, it bursts on impacts causing one creature hit to make a con save or fall asleep. No additional damage.
8 Spoil Arrow - on hit you have a horrible taste in your mouth that distracts you from whatever else you were doing to go seek water.
9 Rose Thorn Arrow - on hit extra 1d4 piercing from thorns and target must make a DC 15 STR or DEX save or be ensnared for 1d4 rounds (can attempt to Str / dex to get free each round), 1d4 piercing damage each round the ensnared creature moves.
10 Navigators Shot - upon firing upwards, the arrow travels 80ft upwards before going 50ft towards a goal (find a target or location) the archer is currently seeking. The magic loses effect if it impacts anything before the ascent.
11 Pointy Twig - sold by a goblin traveling merchant, he swears it's an arrow of never-missing. It's actually just a pointy twig.
12 Vampire Teeth Arrow - While not actual vampire teeth, they look pretty close. These arrows deal necrotic damage instead of piercing. The teeth may be recovered after battle to gain the damage dealt with them as healing or temporary HP.
13 Gossip Arrow - on a hit, the archer discovers one mundane secret about the target. (The bandit loves knitting kinda secret) this secret is broadcasted in a 30ft radius by an ethereal voice.
14 Flightstopper Arrow - A creature that is flying or attempting to fly must make a constitution save before using its movement. On failure, it cannot gain altitude and instead drops 60 feet. A flying creature does not take fall damage if it is forced from the sky by the flightstopper arrow. The throw is repeated every time the flying creature tries to use its movement. The effect lasts one minute or until the arrow is removed, whichever comes sooner.
15 Barbed Arrow - This cruelly barbed arrow does normal damage going in, and 1D6+2 damage coming out. If carefully removed (takes 1D6+1 rounds, DEX check at DC 15), no damage; half damage if you fail the roll. If left in, 1 damage per round spent doing anything but remaining carefully still.
16 Arrow of Teleportation - user is teleported to the impact site of the arrow.
17 Arrow of Delay - when fired the arrow freezes in place mid-air, thawing one round later and targeting the original targeted location. In addition to normal damage, on a hit the target is frozen in time for one round, unable to take any actions.
18 Curved Arrow - An arrow with a slight curve in it, used to hit targets behind cover.
19 Haunted Skull-Dread Arrow - Does regular damage. If arrow isn't pulled out by before 3 turns are over, the creature gains either a minor curse from a d100 table, or a disease from a d100 table. If it is a critical hit, then on the first turn the effect activates.
20 Shock Arrow - A thundergem is sharpened into a point as this arrow's head. Upon a hit the brittle gem shatters, releasing an additional 1d8 lightning damage in a 10' radius.
21 Grease Arrow - An alchemist's vial of grease replaces the arrowhead and spreads grease on whatever surface it strikes.
22 Babel Arrow - on hit, this arrow makes you forget the languages you speak and speak languages you didn't beforehand for 1d4 hours.
23 Odor-Seeking Arrow - will automatically hit the smelliest creature or object within 2d120 feet.
24 Flash Bang Arrow - this arrow is tipped with a small grey canister that explodes in a 10 foot radius on impact. Creatures in the blast must make a DC 14 constitution save or be blinded and deafened for 1d4 rounds. The creature may repeat the saving throw at the end of each of his turns.
25 Flare Arrow - creates a flare like projectile. If shot skyward can be seen up to one mile away. Only does 1d4 additional fire damage.
26 Arrow of Ricochet - Considers full cover to be half cover.
27 Light Arrow - These arrows deal radiant damage instead of piercing. They appear to be made out of pure light while emitting none at the same time. They leave a streak in the air, marking their path for up to an hour.
28 Short Jump Arrow - Arrow range is only 30 ft but allows you to teleport to anywhere within the range that it lands.
29 Arrow of Whooshing - makes a sound like someone making the sound of an arrow flying through the air as it flies through the air.
30 Foecrusher Arrow - An arrow with a very large head that is disproportionate to the rest of the arrow’s body, that somehow weighs the same as a normal arrowhead. Upon being fired, the arrow begins to rapidly grow in size over the course of its flight. For every 10 feet the arrow moves, the arrow’s damage increases by 1d6 piercing damage. If the arrow travels at least 100 feet, every creature within a 5 foot radius of the arrows point of impact must make a DC 18 Dexterity saving throw. A creature takes the arrows full damage as bludgeoning damage on a failed save, and half as much damage on a successful save. The damage is done instead of the arrows single target damage, not in addition to it. The radius of the arrows point of impact increases by 5 feet for every additional 100 feet the arrow travels after the initial 100 feet.
31 Whistling arrow - A non-magical arrow with a wiffle ball-like attachment affixed to the shaft behind the point. It makes a shill whistling sound as it travels through the air. Inexpensive.
32 Grappling Arrow - Arrow with a strong head that will hold up to 300 lbs of weight on an attached 100ft length of rope.
33 Drow Ascension Arrow - Touching these arrows bathes the shooter or anything it hits in shadow for 1 hour.
34 Zipper Arrow - Does regular damage, but the when the arrow is ripped out by a PC, it does 4d4 damage. To rip the Arrow out, a PC needs a prerequisite strength of 15. The actual arrow has many small spikes and sharp edges on it, and near the base of the arrow is a large pull handle.
35 Scrying Arrow - It takes a moment to prep the scrying arrow. You look into the foggy glass and your non dominant eye loses sight for a second before reforming inside the glassy bulb. This effect lasts for a minute. This arrow can then be shot.
36 Arrow of Anti-Magic - Arrow dispels all magic spells and effects within 10ft of it's impact.
37 Stalker Arrow - upon impact, this arrow lodges a small magical tracker in its target. The archer now knows the location of the target for 24 hours.
38 Evertrue Arrow - when this arrow is fired, a target will be hit. Maybe not the one you're aiming at, but the arrow will continue to travel across the surface of the plane it was shot on in a random direction that changes every minute until it hits a target.
39 Cannon Arrow - An arrow seemingly made entirely out of metal that is still light enough to be used, faintly glowing runic symbols cover every surface. Upon being fired, the arrow transforms into a cannonball that magically continues following the arrows flight path. A creature that is hit with the cannonball takes 8d10 bludgeoning damage and must succeed on a DC 22 Strength saving throw or be knocked prone.
40 Arrow of Illusion - arrow creates an illusion of the archer at the impact site.
41 Injection Arrow - An arrow with a needle on the tip used to inject enemies with poisons and other alchemical brews.
42 Suckerpunch Arrow - Arrows that have a light metal ball instead of a pointed head. Better for knocking out targets with a shot to the head or knocking the wind out of them with a shot to the gut. Incredibly nonlethal.
43 Whisper Arrow - if a message is whispered to the arrow before firing it, a target hit by the arrow will hear the whispered message.
44 Net Arrow - The head of this arrow is actually a small clay pot containing a spring-loaded silk net, on a hit, the target makes a DEX save (DC 13) against being restrained. on it's turn, the target can make a STR check to break free (DC 16).
45 Huntress Arrow - The Goddess of the Hunt blessed this arrow. Hits with the force of a falling Oak tree.
46 Arched Arrow - curved slightly, with air channels engraved onto the tip. When fired, flies in a circle of diameter 60ft in the direction the arrow is curved toward when aiming.
47 Buzzing Arrow - An arrow with a head coated in honey. When it hits a target, a swarm of bees is summoned, centered on the target. The bees are not friendly to the user, but likely won't attack unless provoked.
48 Edible Arrow - this can be shot and break like a normal arrow but is unrecoverable. Otherwise provides the effect of one goodberry with no time spoilage.
49 Skeletal Grasp Arrow - An arrow of bone with a grasping hand on the front. If target is struck, grasping skeletal hands raise up from the ground dealing bludgeoning damage and restraining the target and those caught in the AOE. 5 foot radius.
50 Long Range Arrow - a rare and beautifully crafted arrow, normal range increased by 1d120, maximum range increased by 2d120
51 Shadow Arrows - Arrows exposed to alchemy that allows it to go through an object or person and pierce something else.
52 Arrow of Desperation - Gains a +4 bonus when the archer or one of their companions has less than a quarter HP remaining.
53 Blessed Arrow - does extra 1d4 damage to undead.
54 Moist Arrow - upon impact, any surface in a 10ft cube will immediately be drenched in a thin layer of water.
55 Taser Bolt - upon impact, the target must make a DC 14 constitution saving throw. On a fail, the target is now paralyzed, as if affected by the hold person spell. The saving throw may be repeated at the end of each of the targets turns.
56 Beacon-Seeking Arrow - a person or creature can touch an object and designate it as the beacon. When fired by that person/creature, the arrow will automatically hit the beacon if the beacon is within 2d120 feet.
57 Immovable Arrow - When the arrow hits something it becomes magically fixed in place upon impact until a button near the tip of the arrow is pressed. While fixed the arrow can hold up to 4,000 pounds.
58 Silence Arrow - An arrow with a fog-filled glass pearl instead of an arrowhead. It casts the silence spell in a 20 ft spherical radius lasting for 5 minutes where it strikes.
59 Bluff Arrow - A regular arrow with an extremely persausive letter tied to it.
60 Dryad's Kiss Arrow - Upon a successful hit by this legendary arrow the target is wrapped in vines and dragged into the earth. On a miss the arrow sprouts vines and roots that creates an oasis of permanent plant life and sprouts another arrow every century.
61 Anti-Ballistic Arrow - A thick arrow that has a rounded tip, with fletching that constantly adjusts and readjusts itself. Upon being fired, the arrow seeks out the closest moving projectile that is within 30 feet of any point of the arrow’s flight path. The arrow changes its direction to intercept the moving projectile, and a successful attack roll against an AC of 15 results in the intercepted projectile being knocked out of the air and/or destroyed.
62 Glass-Break Arrow - The arrowhead is high quality ceramic and very lightly touched with enchantment so that it thoroughly shatters glass. Despite being enchanted, detect magic will overlook it most of the time. Inexpensive, but only shops catering to thieves and mischief sell them. Possession may be a crime in some areas.
63 Armor Piercing Arrows - Tipped with special metals that ignore AC, +2 to hit.
64 Glass Tipped Arrow - Either solid or hollow to fill with alchemy items.
65 Mind Spike Arrow - Deals only psychic damage. Target has disadvantage on wisdom saves until next turn. It is pink in colour.
66 Rope Arrow - When fired, this arrow releases 25 feet of hempen rope behind it.
67 Pulling Arrow - can pull 300lbs of weight that is tied to the arrow for 1d100 feet.
68 Heat-Seeking Arrow - will automatically hit the hottest temperature creature or object within 2d120 feet.
69 Acid Arrow - The glass head of this arrow shatters upon impact spraying the target in corrosive acid. On a hit the target takes an additional 1d4 acid damage.
70 Motion-Seeking Arrow - will automatically hit the fastest moving creature or object within 2d120 feet.
71 Noise-Seeking Arrow - will automatically hit the loudest creature or object within 2d120 feet.
72 Thundersteel Arrow - made from meteoric iron which has been imbued with the essence of the sky domain, deals 1d4 lightning damage in addition.
73 Wyrmslayer Arrow - Deals double damage to dragons and like kin.
74 Crescent Moon Arrow - causes slashing damage with it's broad cutting head. Once hit the target it hooks itself in the flesh as the wound closes behind it. Causes bleeding. Not effective against armor. Not effective at long range. Can be used to cut objects further away, like ropes for traps and such.
75 Small Game Broadhead - Broadhead with extending fins that will decapitate small game (CR 1/8 or lower), due to the precision needed, the target gets +5 to AC.
76 Hollow Tipped Arrows - It breaks off inside the victim causing more damage, but are harder to penetrate armor with. -1 to hit, +1d4 damage.
77 Ethereal Arrow - Upon using a command word, this arrow shifts between the material and ethereal plane. Can be used to shoot through allies without harming them or to shoot through covers.
78 Tracer Arrow - Glows when fired so you can see the arc of the arrow and where it lands. Inexpensive.
79 Screamer Arrow - A transparent, fragile arrowhead filled with volatile sonic energy causes this arrow to mildly vibrate at all times. On a hit, the arrowhead shatters and releases a ear shattering scream. Instead of dealing traditional damage, all creatures within a 30 foot radius of the arrows point of impact must make a Constitution saving throw. A creature takes take 2d8 thunder damage on a failed save, and half as much damage on a successful one. A creature made of inorganic material such as stone or metal has disadvantage on this saving throw. Any nonmagical objects that aren’t being worn or carried also take the damage if they are in the radius.
80 Arrow of the Feywar - Upon a successful hit transports the victim to another point nearby or another point on the nearest continent (flip a coin to decide).
81 Cold-Seeking Arrow - will automatically hit the coldest temperature creature or object within 2d120 feet.
82 Tipsy Arrow - on successful hit target is impaired as if drunk for 1d4 minutes. (disadvantage on attacks)
83 Arrow of Blinding - as it impacts the target, it explodes in a flash of light rendering everyone who was not averting their eyes blinded for 1d4 rounds.
84 Water Arrow - When this arrow makes contact, it releases a burst of water that extinguishes any source of fire no greater than a five foot cube. Elementals attuned to fire are weak against it's damage.
85 Non-lethal Arrow (blunt head) - does blunt instead of piercing damage.
86 Arrow of Spiders - When the arrow impacts it releases hundreds of spiders. The spiders are harmless but a creature they are crawling on must succeed a DC 20 constitution check or use their next action to brush off the spiders.
87 Boxing Glove Arrow - Stuns an enemy or knocks them prone on hit.
88 Invisibility Arrow - on hit, target vanishes for a whole 1d12 minutes.
89 Ice Arrow - A shard of razor sharp ever-frozen ice is fastened to the end of an arrow. A hit from an Ice Arrow causes the area surrounding the wound to freeze for 1d4 hours.
90 Arrow of Monster Attraction - Any target hit by this arrow will attract any monster within 200ft. Monsters (with below human int) will treat the person or creature hit by this arrow as hostile. If arrow hits an inanimate object or the ground, any monster (with below human int) drawn to it will treat everyone in the area as hostile.
91 Blight Arrow - A sinister looking arrow made from a dark wood that seems to pulse with life. On a hit, the wooden shaft of the arrow wiggles and writhes its way into the body of the target dealing an additional 1d4 damage on the hit and at the start of each of the target’s turns thereafter until the wood is removed with magical restoration or a successful DC 16 Medicine check. If the shaft still remains inside the target’s body when the target dies, 1d3 twig blights burst forth from the target’s body 2d4 rounds after the creature’s death. The twig blights are hostile to all creatures other than each other, and attack nearby creatures until they die or there are no creatures left to attack, at which point they go off in search of more victims.
92 Black Arrow - Dwarven-made it is ancient and capable of piercing dragon hide.
93 Arrow of Agitation - on a successful hit, the target experiences varying nervous agitation, which affects to hit rolls and any bonuses to AC for Dex. Roll a d4, and subtract that number on to hit rolls and Dex-based AC. The effect lasts for 6-8 rounds.
94 Alchemists Fire Arrow - contains a small vial of alchemists fire, dealing an additional 1d4 fire damage.
95 Sentient Arrow - The arrow is actually a living organism shaped like an arrow. Its head is the arrow head. When drawing blood it sprouts its thin limbs and begins trying to inject itself inside its target host. The initial strike does damage and the target must succeed a constitution saving throw or else the creature will successfully dive into the host. While, it will deal 1d4 damage per turn and the host can feel the creature moving around inside.
96 Trickstrike Arrow - The arrow teleports midfiring so that it appears to have been fired from a direction of the attacker's choosing instead. The accuracy is the same as a normal arrow.
97 Cupid's Lust - these pair of arrows switch the minds of the targets for 24 hours when struck with the tip.
98 Arrows of the Wraith - Ethereal arrow tips don't hurt most creatures but is devastating to ghosts and other spirits.
99 Quiver Mother Arrow - As long as this arrow is in your quiver it makes 15 arrows per day.
100 Blurry Arrow - blurs vision for 1d20 minutes.
101 Vampire Arrow - An arrow made from bone that appears to be covered in dozens of tiny holes near its tip. On a hit, a vampire arrow begins rapidly draining blood from the target’s body, causing them to take 1d6 necrotic damage at the start of the target’s turn until the head of arrow is removed from the body. These additional effects do not occur if the target has no blood or similar essential body fluid.
102 Binding Arrow - Designed to explode on contact with a sticky goo that hardens almost instantly, DC 15 strength check to break. Can be used to stop or hinder movement.
103 Grapple Hook Arrow - does not do standard damage. Can be used as a standard grapple hook as well as an attempt to attach it to a target.
104 Smokescreen Arrow - Tipped with a smokebomb. Causes a cloud of smoke that obstructs vision for 1d4-1 rounds, moves 10ft in the direction of the wind every turn.
105 Deadweight Arrow - Once its stabbed into a surface, the target's weight increases to 50 pounds.
106 Scorpion Arrow - Does an additional 1d4 poison damage.
107 Splitting Arrow - An arrow that splits into 3 separate arrows mid-flight. There are rarer versions that split into 5 and even 7.
108 Assassin's Arrow - immediately upon striking the target the arrow vanishes, leaving no trace of the arrow behind and making the source of the wound unclear.
109 Jagged Arrow - When it hit's a target, it does 1d4 piercing damage every 12 seconds (2 turns) until removed by a medicine check of 15+.
110 Compass Arrow - Ordinary when fired but swivels to point north when balanced on a finger.
111 Light-Seeking Arrow - will automatically hit the brightest creature or object within 2d120 feet.
112 Meteor Shower Arrow - A Pure black arrow that marks a target for a meteor shower. Meteors are summoned and take 1 turn to arrive. After 1 turn a shower of massive flaming meteors rain down on the target dealing LOTS of fire and bludgeoning damage. 15 foot radius.
113 Torch Arrow: After being shot and embedding itself in some surface this arrow burns for 1 hour lighting a 20-foot radius with bright light and providing dim light for another 20 feet.
114
115
116
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118
119
120
Initial list built by d100. See it here.
List Contributors: u/dndspeak, u/Gentleman_Viking, u/Gnazax, u/hongan_os, u/Wartoaster, u/Cheibrodos, u/pjk922, u/baconexperience, u/PapaBear221b, u/sonofabutch, u/Helix1322, u/FatalBurnz, u/Trantorius, u/Hwga_lurker_tw, u/2604, u/kysnou_, u/themasonking, u/Jehovahs_attorney, u/DMerald, u/FTLOG_IAMDAVE, u/sacros003, u/no4u, u/World_of_Ideas, u/ThePragmaticPimp, u/CountofAccount, u/Silverdragon701, u/ed57ve, u/calrinet, u/Courtholomew, u/yiorgiom, u/ChristyPaladin, u/ALegitimateName, u/r3dj4ck0425, u/FlyingHorseduck
submitted by flyinghorseduck to d120Lists [link] [comments]

2023.03.20 18:21 Magical_Emil Happened to see this come up on my tik tok feed, can’t believe it happened on a new ticket but also in California!

Happened to see this come up on my tik tok feed, can’t believe it happened on a new ticket but also in California! submitted by Magical_Emil to Lottery [link] [comments]

2023.03.20 18:16 FruityandtheBeast Kentucky residents reported an average of 5.5 mentally unhealthy days a month, the 5th most in the US. Bell County has the poorest mental health in the state with an average of 6.5 days reported.

Kentucky residents reported an average of 5.5 mentally unhealthy days a month, the 5th most in the US. Bell County has the poorest mental health in the state with an average of 6.5 days reported. submitted by FruityandtheBeast to Kentucky [link] [comments]

2023.03.20 18:02 Sogggy_ [Smashbros] Let’s Make BIG Moves 2023 - seeds

https://www.start.gg/tournament/let-s-make-big-moves-2023/event/ultimate-singles
  1. Sparg0
    1. Tweek
    2. MkLeo
    3. Light
    4. Glutonny
    5. Onin
    6. Riddles
    7. Sonix
    8. Kola
    9. Dabuz
    10. Cosmos
    11. Maister
    12. Zomba
    13. ApolloKage
    14. Anathema
    15. Jakal
    16. Jake
    17. Quidd
    18. Syrup
    19. Lima
    20. Tilde
    21. Ned
    22. goblin deez
    23. MKBigBoss
    24. Jahzz0
    25. Chag
    26. SHADIC
    27. Puppeh
    28. Chronos
    29. Fatalité
    30. Peabnut
    31. Chase
    32. BassMage
    33. T3 DOM
    34. Quandale Dinglelingleton
    35. LeoN
    36. Teaser
    37. yonni
    38. MPg
    39. naitosharp
    40. ChunkyKong
    41. pv amélioré
    42. Raisin
    43. WaDi
    44. quiK
    45. ATATA
    46. Dark Wizzy
    47. oméga
    48. Gen
    49. Mugen
    50. Ling
    51. Sinji
    52. Toast
    53. Epic_Gabriel
    54. Doorstop
    55. Quinn
    56. Haven
    57. Bête
    58. Suarez
    59. Mr. E
    60. PsyKoD
    61. John Numbers
    62. Squidplumber
    63. Peanut
    64. PkChris
    65. Atomic
    66. Justice
    67. Stroder Ame
    68. Daybreak
    69. WhyDo
    70. BobbyWasabi
    71. GuyGuy
    72. Luma
    73. Kobe
    74. Blacktwins13
    75. Deathspade
    76. boosk
    77. Pelca
    78. Riku
    79. Justyce
    80. Armadillo
    81. Tony Pajamas
    82. Cee
    83. Geist
    84. Myles
    85. Angel
    86. Mr.Zercon
    87. Yoshi-O
    88. Shard
    89. Demon
    90. Smirk
    91. WebbJP
    92. Chaussure
    93. Kiwi
    94. Stocktaker69
    95. Cage Yoda
    96. JeJaJeJa
    97. Beastly
    98. Steffen
    99. Nuggetz
    100. Ludo
    101. Key
    102. fawn
    103. Spritzy
    104. Meowscarada
    105. BeastModePaul
    106. CurryGovernor
    107. Key
    108. Kazma
    109. ArmyOli
    110. Karflo
    111. Bruho
    112. Noku
    113. Dominateur
    114. Cage rose
    115. Joshathan Gamer
    116. Deltaforce
    117. Nexus
    118. G-XTREME
    119. Amaryllis
    120. XLNC
    121. BeatyBean
    122. Vivi
    123. Justinbyleth
    124. Luxa
    125. BlitzLuigy
    126. Mega
    127. Dany
submitted by Sogggy_ to enfrancais [link] [comments]

2023.03.20 17:32 Morbo4Prez Ashley Madison - By The Numbers

If you have been around this place for any length of time, you will know that there are a lot of questions regarding Ashley Madison (AM). AM claims to be a place full of like-minded affair seekers, but have you ever considered who is really on there? Let’s dig in deeper and find out.
BACKGROUND:
About 6 months ago I purchased a chunk of credits and began my second journey with AM. As I searched, I began to notice a significant number of single women. That got me curious and sparked my desire to write this post.
To collect the data below, I clicked on the first 100 profiles in order and recorded the results. I did not scrutinize the quality of the profiles.
Definitions:
THE STATS:
Search parameters; Age: 30-55, Online past 48 hours, 30 mile range.
Search parameters; Same as above but with “Has Public Photo” enabled.
Search parameters; Same as above but ONLY clicking on profiles that featured unblurred photos. (Only 47 total profiles viewed)
Search parameters; Age: 24-34, Online past 48 hours, 30 mile range.
OBSERVATIONS:
During each search, a considerable number of profiles were blank or nearly so. You don’t have to search long to come across a profile that simply says, “hey”.
Profiles of younger women or profiles that contained unblurred photos or attractive pictures are more likely to be single or looking for a financial arrangement (P4P).
Conversely, profiles containing no public photo are more likely to be from married women.
At best, 54% of the profiles were married women. But what number of those are the infamous tire-kicking time wasters? How many profiles are created and abandoned shortly after? Or possibly they found someone and haven’t deactivated their account yet?
After being on AM for quite a while, I started to recognize the same profiles appearing in my search results constantly. It begs the question that after months of being online, can these women not find anyone they are interested in? I find it curious to say the least.
I hope you found this information insightful. Feel free to post your thoughts below.
May the odds be ever in your favor.
submitted by Morbo4Prez to adultery [link] [comments]

2023.03.20 17:06 EvilE69 Atomic Rust 2x server Monthly map wipe BP wipes every 3 months.

Come join our new rust server Atomic Rust. Gather and loot is 2x with gather rate getting a buff during night time. Custom events such as raidable bases, Cargo Plane airfield event. Cargo Plane destress event.
Discord: https://discord.gg/A2BNY9gNNK
Search under modded for Atomic Rust or:
client.connect 73.183.47.119:28015
Server offers BP sharing with team members and auto AUTH on Code locks and auto turrets.
CCTV cameras do not require power to work and a cctv gui that lets you set up the cameras that you want added to your computer station when you place it down automatically.
Custom in game commands such as /horse to spawn a horse for getting around the map easier.
Mini Copters spawn in small numbers on the roads just like it used to be in the older rust style.
Backpacks mod with the added on backpack button where you can have gathered loot go right to the backpack.
Train Heist event where a guarded train with locked crates travels the map.
Kits that allows you once a wipe to get a starter base down and tools to gather up materials.
Better electrics making it easier to get the new industrial parts powered up and running.
Recyclers at all fishing villages and custom vending machines at outpost and bandit camp.
​
Current map is a custom map with some custom monuments.
Early joiners of the server will be given access too Skin Box so you can make you base unique to your style.
submitted by EvilE69 to playrustservers [link] [comments]

2023.03.20 17:04 chitownkid81 [NM] Kylo Ren's Tie Fighter (75179) - 105 spots at $2/ea

Item Name Set Number: Kylo Ren's Tie Fighter (75179)
Lego Price: $174
Shipping: (4lbs,23x13x5,UPS Insured,60465-98038) = $36
Raffle Total/Spots: $210/105 spots @ $2/ea
Price justification: BE
Call spots: Y
Spot limit per person: N
Duration of spot limit: N/A
Location(Country): USA
Will ship international: Y - Outside CONUS,APO,PO pays difference
Timestamp pics: https://imgur.com/a/UPzMVyD
Description: Some minor corner damage on box. See photos.
Payment required w/in 10 minutes of raffle filling.
PayPal payments are to be Friends and Family only with NO COMMENTS. CashApp payments should have NO COMMENTS. Comments will result in a permanent ban

PayPal Info: https://www.paypal.me
Cash App Info: https://cash.app
​
Tip BlobAndHisBoy
Number of vacant slots: 75
Number of unpaid users: 7
Number of unpaid slots: 29
This slot list is created and updated by The EDC Raffle Tool by BlobAndHisBoy.
1 vangobroom97
2 LunchBoxMercenary
3 ssj3dvp11
4 vangobroom97
5
6 ssj3dvp11
7 DrSeussFreak
8
9 Background_Badger942
10
11 DrSeussFreak
12
13 DerBengel PAID
14 Background_Badger942
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16 LunchBoxMercenary
17 DrSeussFreak
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19 DrSeussFreak
20 vangobroom97
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29 Background_Badger942
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34 LunchBoxMercenary
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42 DrSeussFreak
43 Available_War941
44 Available_War941
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47 Available_War941
48 ssj3dvp11
49 Available_War941
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66 Nate-doge1
67
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69 vangobroom97
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73 ssj3dvp11
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75 LunchBoxMercenary
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79 Available_War941
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83 Available_War941
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89 LunchBoxMercenary
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105 vangobroom97

submitted by chitownkid81 to lego_raffles [link] [comments]

2023.03.20 17:02 mytendies Best Options Report March 20th

## Most Bearish
These stocks and put options are the most directionaly bearish. Directional bias ranges from -100 (bearish) to +100 (bullish). It accounts for RSI, trend, moving averages and put/call skew over the past 4 weeks. Fade the recent bearish action by selling high premium puts or get long with puts with low put premiums.
Stock Put IV Direction Past Move (+/-) Priced Down Move Days Until Earnings Underlying Price Put Premium
BYND 125.0 -94.68 $40.72 -$73.56 50 15.47 1.81
ZIM 216.0 -85.23 $40.49 -$127.11 0 23.3581 3.14
FAS 89.0 -64.44 $55.83 -$52.37 0 54.2301 0.94
DUST 85.0 -62.61 $47.5 -$50.02 0 12.05 1.05
USB 56.0 -57.47 $41.18 -$32.95 35 35.2936 0.8
PTON 84.0 -57.38 $37.76 -$49.43 43 9.61 1.31
UPST 113.0 -57.3 $34.81 -$66.5 48 14.73 1.91
GPS 57.0 -52.31 $23.16 -$33.54 0 9.74 1.45
UCO 89.0 -52.12 $38.08 -$52.37 0 21.4099 1.38
T 35.0 -51.94 $8.75 -$20.6 30 18.5064 2.35
## Most Bullish
These stocks and call options are the most directionally bullish. Directional bias ranges from -100 (bearish) to +100 (bullish). It accounts for RSI, trend, moving averages and put/call skew over the past 4 weeks. Fade the recent bullish action by selling high premium calls or go long with calls with low call premiums.
Stock Call IV Direction Past Move (+/-) Priced Up Move Days Until Earnings Underlying Price Call Premium
PBR 57.99999999999999 88.93 $23.64 +$34.13 49 9.9 1.44
RIOT 120.0 53.8 $65.45 +$70.62 42 8.4707 1.08
NUGT 79.0 40.25 $45.44 +$46.49 0 38.46 1.02
VIXY 93.0 38.5 $53.24 +$54.73 0 10.895 1.03
JNUG 90.0 37.05 $48.94 +$52.96 0 37.76 1.08
GOLD 42.0 36.94 $21.23 +$24.72 43 18.15 1.16
FAZ 95.0 36.55 $52.73 +$55.91 0 23.9998 1.06
MARA 134.0 34.27 $71.24 +$78.86 0 8.05 1.11
NEM 40.0 34.23 $23.26 +$23.54 31 48.0745 1.01
COIN 107.0 33.91 $51.75 +$62.97 49 74.97 1.22

Cheap Calls

These call options offer the lowest ratio of bullish premium paid (IV) relative to historical volatility (HV). These options are priced expecting the underlying to move up significantly less than it has moved up in the past. Buy these calls.
Stock Call IV Direction Past Move (+/-) Priced Up Move Days Until Earnings Underlying Price Call Premium
SRPT 53.0 -29.52 $63.78 +$31.19 43 127.74 0.49
DOCU 57.99999999999999 -18.67 $65.59 +$34.13 0 56.0875 0.52
ADSK 36.0 -1.61 $35.17 +$21.19 65 202.823 0.6
BITO 57.99999999999999 14.04 $56.08 +$34.13 0 17.274 0.61
VMW 19.0 -36.43 $18.08 +$11.18 65 118.57 0.62
PANW 31.0 5.21 $27.86 +$18.24 58 188.79 0.65
SE 56.00000000000001 5.7 $49.11 +$32.95 0 76.92 0.67
CSTM 48.0 -16.47 $41.25 +$28.25 36 14.16 0.68
CRM 33.0 5.4 $28.13 +$19.42 71 185.09 0.69
SCHW 64.0 -35.36 $54.32 +$37.66 28 58.2497 0.69

Cheap Puts

These put options offer the lowest ratio of bearish premium paid (IV) relative to historical volatility (HV). These options are priced expecting the underlying to move down significantly less than it has moved down in the past. Buy these puts.
Stock Put IV Direction Past Move (+/-) Priced Down Move Days Until Earnings Underlying Price Put Premium
PBR 17.0 88.93 $23.64 -$10.0 49 9.9 0.42
SRPT 50.0 -29.52 $63.78 -$29.42 43 127.74 0.46
DOCU 57.0 -18.67 $65.59 -$33.54 0 56.0875 0.51
ADSK 36.0 -1.61 $35.17 -$21.19 65 202.823 0.6
PANW 30.0 5.21 $27.86 -$17.65 58 188.79 0.63
SE 54.0 5.7 $49.11 -$31.78 0 76.92 0.65
CSTM 48.0 -16.47 $41.25 -$28.25 36 14.16 0.68
SCHW 63.0 -35.36 $54.32 -$37.07 28 58.2497 0.68
CRM 33.0 5.4 $28.13 -$19.42 71 185.09 0.69
CTRA 35.0 3.08 $29.66 -$20.6 42 23.6499 0.69

Expensive Puts

These put options offer the highest ratio of bearish premium paid (IV) relative to historical volatility (HV). These options are priced expecting the underlying to move down significantly more than it has moved down in the past. Sell these puts.
Stock Put IV Direction Past Move (+/-) Priced Down Move Days Until Earnings Underlying Price Put Premium
ZIM 216.0 -85.23 $40.49 -$127.11 0 23.3581 3.14
CHWY 71.0 -15.36 $14.82 -$41.78 1 38.08 2.82
NKE 44.0 7.74 $9.62 -$25.89 0 121.55 2.69
SAVA 77.0 -2.09 $18.05 -$45.31 44 26.48 2.51
GME 111.0 -16.89 $26.6 -$65.32 0 17.03 2.46
T 35.0 -51.94 $8.75 -$20.6 30 18.5064 2.35
PM 27.0 -36.86 $7.3 -$15.89 30 95.8 2.18
ATVI 33.0 -29.56 $9.42 -$19.42 35 78.98 2.06
IBM 26.0 9.32 $7.55 -$15.3 0 125.24 2.03
BIIB 30.0 2.48 $8.78 -$17.65 43 264.32 2.01

Expensive Calls

These call options offer the highest ratio of bullish premium paid (IV) relative to historical volatility (HV). These options are priced expecting the underlying to move up significantly more than it has moved up in the past. Sell these calls.
Stock Call IV Direction Past Move (+/-) Priced Up Move Days Until Earnings Underlying Price Call Premium
CHWY 70.0 -15.36 $14.82 +$41.19 1 38.08 2.78
NKE 45.0 7.74 $9.62 +$26.48 0 121.55 2.75
KHC 33.0 17.94 $8.06 +$19.42 36 37.975 2.41
IBM 30.0 9.32 $7.55 +$17.65 0 125.24 2.34
GME 105.0 -16.89 $26.6 +$61.79 0 17.03 2.32
SAVA 71.0 -2.09 $18.05 +$41.78 44 26.48 2.31
ET 59.0 11.67 $15.89 +$34.72 43 12.14 2.19
KMI 40.0 12.97 $11.08 +$23.54 29 16.505 2.12
BIIB 31.0 2.48 $8.78 +$18.24 43 264.32 2.08
BNTX 44.0 6.79 $12.81 +$25.89 6 131.4885 2.02

Highest Premium

These options offer the highest ratio of implied volatility (IV) relative to historical volatility (HV). These options are priced to move significantly more than they have moved in the past. Sell iron condors on these as they may be over priced.
Stock Put IV Call IV Direction HV Premium Days Until Earnings Underlying Price Efficiency
CHWY 71.0 70.0 -15.36 25.19 2.8 1 38.08 90.46
NKE 44.0 45.0 7.74 16.35 2.72 0 121.55 96.83
SAVA 77.0 71.0 -2.09 30.68 2.41 44 26.48 48.86
GME 111.0 105.0 -16.89 45.2 2.39 0 17.03 88.82
IBM 26.0 30.0 9.32 12.83 2.18 0 125.24 93.95
KHC 26.0 33.0 17.94 13.69 2.15 36 37.975 83.06
ZIM 216.0 73.0 -85.23 68.81 2.1 0 23.3581 77.89
BIIB 30.0 31.0 2.48 14.92 2.04 43 264.32 78.75
BNTX 42.0 44.0 6.79 21.77 1.98 6 131.4885 80.62
ET 45.0 59.0 11.67 27.0 1.93 43 12.14 58.21

Most Efficient

These stocks have the best liquidity in ATM options four weeks away. This means that they offer the least slippage, tightest spreads and the cheapest cost of a round trip trade. Best for short term trades.
Stock Direction Premium Past Move (+/-) Days Until Earnings Underlying Price Efficiency
QQQ 8.56 1.26 $11.93 0 304.435 99.14
IWM -17.88 1.11 $14.34 0 174.14 98.74
NVDA 17.78 0.85 $35.26 64 256.91 98.7
TSLA -1.09 1.28 $29.68 29 184.34 98.58
GM -25.08 1.09 $21.8 35 34.06 98.29
TQQQ 12.29 1.21 $35.37 0 24.56 98.12
NFLX -1.93 1.74 $18.4 28 304.96 97.96
MSFT 17.79 1.09 $16.45 35 272.2 97.91
C -12.73 0.89 $28.44 24 44.95 97.79
INTC 30.76 0.95 $22.39 37 29.01 97.75
submitted by mytendies to thetagang [link] [comments]

2023.03.20 17:01 mytendies Best Options Report Week of March 20th

## Most Bearish
These stocks and put options are the most directionaly bearish. Directional bias ranges from -100 (bearish) to +100 (bullish). It accounts for RSI, trend, moving averages and put/call skew over the past 4 weeks. Fade the recent bearish action by selling high premium puts or get long with puts with low put premiums.
Stock Put IV Direction Past Move (+/-) Priced Down Move Days Until Earnings Underlying Price Put Premium
BYND 125.0 -94.68 $40.72 -$73.56 50 15.47 1.81
ZIM 216.0 -85.23 $40.49 -$127.11 0 23.3581 3.14
FAS 89.0 -64.44 $55.83 -$52.37 0 54.2301 0.94
DUST 85.0 -62.61 $47.5 -$50.02 0 12.05 1.05
USB 56.0 -57.47 $41.18 -$32.95 35 35.2936 0.8
PTON 84.0 -57.38 $37.76 -$49.43 43 9.61 1.31
UPST 113.0 -57.3 $34.81 -$66.5 48 14.73 1.91
GPS 57.0 -52.31 $23.16 -$33.54 0 9.74 1.45
UCO 89.0 -52.12 $38.08 -$52.37 0 21.4099 1.38
T 35.0 -51.94 $8.75 -$20.6 30 18.5064 2.35
## Most Bullish
These stocks and call options are the most directionally bullish. Directional bias ranges from -100 (bearish) to +100 (bullish). It accounts for RSI, trend, moving averages and put/call skew over the past 4 weeks. Fade the recent bullish action by selling high premium calls or go long with calls with low call premiums.
Stock Call IV Direction Past Move (+/-) Priced Up Move Days Until Earnings Underlying Price Call Premium
PBR 57.99999999999999 88.93 $23.64 +$34.13 49 9.9 1.44
RIOT 120.0 53.8 $65.45 +$70.62 42 8.4707 1.08
NUGT 79.0 40.25 $45.44 +$46.49 0 38.46 1.02
VIXY 93.0 38.5 $53.24 +$54.73 0 10.895 1.03
JNUG 90.0 37.05 $48.94 +$52.96 0 37.76 1.08
GOLD 42.0 36.94 $21.23 +$24.72 43 18.15 1.16
FAZ 95.0 36.55 $52.73 +$55.91 0 23.9998 1.06
MARA 134.0 34.27 $71.24 +$78.86 0 8.05 1.11
NEM 40.0 34.23 $23.26 +$23.54 31 48.0745 1.01
COIN 107.0 33.91 $51.75 +$62.97 49 74.97 1.22

Cheap Calls

These call options offer the lowest ratio of bullish premium paid (IV) relative to historical volatility (HV). These options are priced expecting the underlying to move up significantly less than it has moved up in the past. Buy these calls.
Stock Call IV Direction Past Move (+/-) Priced Up Move Days Until Earnings Underlying Price Call Premium
SRPT 53.0 -29.52 $63.78 +$31.19 43 127.74 0.49
DOCU 57.99999999999999 -18.67 $65.59 +$34.13 0 56.0875 0.52
ADSK 36.0 -1.61 $35.17 +$21.19 65 202.823 0.6
BITO 57.99999999999999 14.04 $56.08 +$34.13 0 17.274 0.61
VMW 19.0 -36.43 $18.08 +$11.18 65 118.57 0.62
PANW 31.0 5.21 $27.86 +$18.24 58 188.79 0.65
SE 56.00000000000001 5.7 $49.11 +$32.95 0 76.92 0.67
CSTM 48.0 -16.47 $41.25 +$28.25 36 14.16 0.68
CRM 33.0 5.4 $28.13 +$19.42 71 185.09 0.69
SCHW 64.0 -35.36 $54.32 +$37.66 28 58.2497 0.69

Cheap Puts

These put options offer the lowest ratio of bearish premium paid (IV) relative to historical volatility (HV). These options are priced expecting the underlying to move down significantly less than it has moved down in the past. Buy these puts.
Stock Put IV Direction Past Move (+/-) Priced Down Move Days Until Earnings Underlying Price Put Premium
PBR 17.0 88.93 $23.64 -$10.0 49 9.9 0.42
SRPT 50.0 -29.52 $63.78 -$29.42 43 127.74 0.46
DOCU 57.0 -18.67 $65.59 -$33.54 0 56.0875 0.51
ADSK 36.0 -1.61 $35.17 -$21.19 65 202.823 0.6
PANW 30.0 5.21 $27.86 -$17.65 58 188.79 0.63
SE 54.0 5.7 $49.11 -$31.78 0 76.92 0.65
CSTM 48.0 -16.47 $41.25 -$28.25 36 14.16 0.68
SCHW 63.0 -35.36 $54.32 -$37.07 28 58.2497 0.68
CRM 33.0 5.4 $28.13 -$19.42 71 185.09 0.69
CTRA 35.0 3.08 $29.66 -$20.6 42 23.6499 0.69

Expensive Puts

These put options offer the highest ratio of bearish premium paid (IV) relative to historical volatility (HV). These options are priced expecting the underlying to move down significantly more than it has moved down in the past. Sell these puts.
Stock Put IV Direction Past Move (+/-) Priced Down Move Days Until Earnings Underlying Price Put Premium
ZIM 216.0 -85.23 $40.49 -$127.11 0 23.3581 3.14
CHWY 71.0 -15.36 $14.82 -$41.78 1 38.08 2.82
NKE 44.0 7.74 $9.62 -$25.89 0 121.55 2.69
SAVA 77.0 -2.09 $18.05 -$45.31 44 26.48 2.51
GME 111.0 -16.89 $26.6 -$65.32 0 17.03 2.46
T 35.0 -51.94 $8.75 -$20.6 30 18.5064 2.35
PM 27.0 -36.86 $7.3 -$15.89 30 95.8 2.18
ATVI 33.0 -29.56 $9.42 -$19.42 35 78.98 2.06
IBM 26.0 9.32 $7.55 -$15.3 0 125.24 2.03
BIIB 30.0 2.48 $8.78 -$17.65 43 264.32 2.01

Expensive Calls

These call options offer the highest ratio of bullish premium paid (IV) relative to historical volatility (HV). These options are priced expecting the underlying to move up significantly more than it has moved up in the past. Sell these calls.
Stock Call IV Direction Past Move (+/-) Priced Up Move Days Until Earnings Underlying Price Call Premium
CHWY 70.0 -15.36 $14.82 +$41.19 1 38.08 2.78
NKE 45.0 7.74 $9.62 +$26.48 0 121.55 2.75
KHC 33.0 17.94 $8.06 +$19.42 36 37.975 2.41
IBM 30.0 9.32 $7.55 +$17.65 0 125.24 2.34
GME 105.0 -16.89 $26.6 +$61.79 0 17.03 2.32
SAVA 71.0 -2.09 $18.05 +$41.78 44 26.48 2.31
ET 59.0 11.67 $15.89 +$34.72 43 12.14 2.19
KMI 40.0 12.97 $11.08 +$23.54 29 16.505 2.12
BIIB 31.0 2.48 $8.78 +$18.24 43 264.32 2.08
BNTX 44.0 6.79 $12.81 +$25.89 6 131.4885 2.02

Highest Premium

These options offer the highest ratio of implied volatility (IV) relative to historical volatility (HV). These options are priced to move significantly more than they have moved in the past. Sell iron condors on these as they may be over priced.
Stock Put IV Call IV Direction HV Premium Days Until Earnings Underlying Price Efficiency
CHWY 71.0 70.0 -15.36 25.19 2.8 1 38.08 90.46
NKE 44.0 45.0 7.74 16.35 2.72 0 121.55 96.83
SAVA 77.0 71.0 -2.09 30.68 2.41 44 26.48 48.86
GME 111.0 105.0 -16.89 45.2 2.39 0 17.03 88.82
IBM 26.0 30.0 9.32 12.83 2.18 0 125.24 93.95
KHC 26.0 33.0 17.94 13.69 2.15 36 37.975 83.06
ZIM 216.0 73.0 -85.23 68.81 2.1 0 23.3581 77.89
BIIB 30.0 31.0 2.48 14.92 2.04 43 264.32 78.75
BNTX 42.0 44.0 6.79 21.77 1.98 6 131.4885 80.62
ET 45.0 59.0 11.67 27.0 1.93 43 12.14 58.21

Most Efficient

These stocks have the best liquidity in ATM options four weeks away. This means that they offer the least slippage, tightest spreads and the cheapest cost of a round trip trade. Best for short term trades.
Stock Direction Premium Past Move (+/-) Days Until Earnings Underlying Price Efficiency
QQQ 8.56 1.26 $11.93 0 304.435 99.14
IWM -17.88 1.11 $14.34 0 174.14 98.74
NVDA 17.78 0.85 $35.26 64 256.91 98.7
TSLA -1.09 1.28 $29.68 29 184.34 98.58
GM -25.08 1.09 $21.8 35 34.06 98.29
TQQQ 12.29 1.21 $35.37 0 24.56 98.12
NFLX -1.93 1.74 $18.4 28 304.96 97.96
MSFT 17.79 1.09 $16.45 35 272.2 97.91
C -12.73 0.89 $28.44 24 44.95 97.79
INTC 30.76 0.95 $22.39 37 29.01 97.75
submitted by mytendies to wallstreetbets [link] [comments]

2023.03.20 16:43 Sethuel Kings Playoff Odds Update 3/20

Happy Monday! I spent the last three days in zoom class, so my brain is a little fried! Today's post is fueled by the delicious leftover Pad Prik Khing I have waiting for me for lunch from THAI (The House of Authentic Ingredients). Would also recommend their Khao Soi, or really anything on the menu.
The school I'm in is an interfaith seminary, which is pretty much the opposite of what you might expect from a data scientist, but we all contain multitudes. My college thesis advisor once said "two roads diverged in a wood, and Seth took both of them." I'm excited to spend the day away from my laptop, but like the character in that Robert Frost poem, I've got promises to keep, so let's get into it.
Someday I might make a real methodology post but today is not that day. It's nothing too complicated though, I just grab the rest of season game-by-game win probabilities from 538's ELO model and use them to simulate the rest of the season 10,000 times. Why 10,000? I don't know, it's a nice big number and it only takes my MacBook about half an hour to do it, even with the wildly inefficient way I wrote the code. For simulating the play-in tournament, I just assume the home team has a 60% chance of winning. Perfect? No. Good enough? Probably.
Yesterday was a scoreboard-watching day and we didn't get a ton of help as the Nugs, Pels, Clippies, and Lakes all lost. One important exception is that the Suns lost to the lowly Thunder, which puts them 5.5 games behind us and basically locks us into at least a 3 seed and the division title (99.3% chance at winning the division and legitjuice/ getting a really nice payout on that +30000 bet). So the only real change from yesterday is that our chance at the 1 seed went down almost 5 points to about 6% but our chance at ending below the 3 seed is now under 1% (it's 0.7%, the other end of that 99.3% shot at winning the division).
We've got almost a 70% chance at 50+ wins now, which is honestly just crazy. Not crazy wrong, I believe the number, it's just crazy thinking back to when we were all like "I think this team has a good chance to make the play-in." The 50-win mark went up about 1% compared to yesterday, which I'm guessing is because the Suns and Blazers ELO ratings took a hit and we play them 3 more times total (1 Suns, 2 Blazers).
First round opponent hasn't changed much from yesterday except the Lakers are down a little and the Wolves are up, which I don't really have an easy explanation for except that the Thunder won yesterday, which makes it a little harder for the Lakers to get into the first play-in and a lot harder for them to get to the 6 seed. One minor change is I went back to the table showing opponent by seed, which is a lot easier now that there's really only 4 seed options for the Kings. Each cell in the table is a percentage of the overall. So for example, there's a 21.1% chance we face the Warriors in the first round. There's a 0.8% that's a 1v8 matchup, an 8% chance it's 2v7, 12.3% it's 3v6 and 0.1% it's 4v5. 0.8+8+12.3+0.1 is 21.2, which isn't 21.1 but that's just because of rounding.
Interesting matchup in Utah tonight, mostly just interesting because the last two games against the Jazz have been nail-biters. Let's hope for a nice SLC beam-lighting tonight.
​ Table: Kings Chance of Seed (10,000 Simulations)
Seed Chance of x Seed Chance of At Least x Seed
1 6.0% 6.0%
2 42.0% 48.0%
3 51.3% 99.3%
4 0.7% 100.0%
5 0.0% 100.0%
​ Table: Kings Chance of Total Wins (10,000 Simulations)
Wins Chance of x Wins Chance of At Least x Wins
44 0.0% 100.0%
45 0.2% 100.0%
46 0.7% 99.8%
47 3.0% 99.1%
48 9.3% 96.1%
49 17.5% 86.8%
50 23.5% 69.3%
51 23.0% 45.8%
52 14.8% 22.8%
53 6.3% 8.0%
54 1.7% 1.7%
55 0.2% 0.0%
​ Table: Chance of Kings' 1st Round Opponent by Kings Seed (10,000 Simulations)
Opponent Total 1 2 3 4
Total 100.0 6.0 42.0 51.3 0.7
Warriors 21.1 0.8 8.0 12.3 0.1
Mavericks 20.9 0.8 8.1 11.9 0.0
Lakers 11.5 1.1 6.4 4.0 0.0
Clippers 11.2 0.2 2.2 8.4 0.4
Timberwolves 10.8 1.1 5.6 4.1 0.0
Thunder 9.5 0.8 5.5 3.2 0.0
Suns 6.1 0.1 1.5 4.5 0.0
Jazz 5.1 0.7 2.8 1.6 0.0
Pelicans 3.6 0.4 1.9 1.2 0.0
​ Table: Chance of Kings' Clinch Dates (10,000 Simulations)
Date Clinch Top 10 on x Date Clinch Top 6 on x Date Clinch Top 4 on x Date Clinch Division on x Date Clinch Top 10 by x Date Clinch Top 6 by x Date Clinch Top 4 by x Date Clinch Division by x Date
March 21 21.8% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 21.8% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0%
March 22 17.1% 8.9% 0.0% 0.0% 38.9% 11.2% 0.0% 0.0%
March 23 13.7% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0% 52.6% 14.4% 0.0% 0.0%
March 24 33.1% 28.2% 1.1% 0.0% 85.7% 42.6% 1.1% 0.0%
March 25 11.1% 28.5% 12.8% 2.2% 96.8% 71.1% 13.9% 2.2%
March 26 1.5% 7.5% 0.5% 0.0% 98.3% 78.6% 14.4% 2.2%
March 27 1.4% 14.3% 32.4% 15.8% 99.7% 92.9% 46.8% 18.0%
March 28 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 99.9% 93.2% 46.9% 18.0%
March 29 0.1% 5.2% 31.7% 24.2% 100.0% 98.4% 78.6% 42.2%
March 30 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 98.4% 78.6% 42.2%
March 31 0.0% 1.1% 15.1% 23.2% 100.0% 99.5% 93.7% 65.4%
April 1 0.0% 0.1% 1.9% 0.6% 100.0% 99.6% 95.6% 66.0%
April 2 0.0% 0.2% 3.5% 21.7% 100.0% 99.8% 99.1% 87.7%
April 4 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% 4.5% 100.0% 99.8% 99.6% 92.2%
April 5 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 2.5% 100.0% 99.8% 99.8% 94.7%
April 6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.4% 100.0% 99.8% 99.8% 96.1%
April 7 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 2.8% 100.0% 99.8% 99.9% 98.9%
April 9 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 100.0% 99.8% 100.0% 99.3%
submitted by Sethuel to kings [link] [comments]

2023.03.20 16:28 Dismal-Jellyfish This is not a 'bailout'! A review of the tools the Fed is leveraging ($308.063 Billion so far as of 3/15) while attempting to navigate the current environment: Primary Credit, Central Bank Liquidity Swaps, Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP), and “Other credit extensions”

This is not a 'bailout'! A review of the tools the Fed is leveraging ($308.063 Billion so far as of 3/15) while attempting to navigate the current environment: Primary Credit, Central Bank Liquidity Swaps, Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP), and “Other credit extensions”
Good morning Superstonk, resident jellyfish back with you! I hope everyone had a great weekend. Seeing as yesterday saw coordinated central bank action to enhance the provision of U.S. dollar liquidity, I thought it would be useful to review these tools at the Fed's disposal as they attempt to navigate this mess they made while calling none of this a 'bailout'.
Mainly:
  • Primary Credit
  • Central Bank Liquidity Swaps
  • Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP)
  • “Other credit extensions”
Let's get to it!

Primary Credit ($152.85 Billion)

https://ycharts.com/indicators/us_loans_to_depository_institutions__primary_credit

Overview:

Federal Reserve lending to depository institutions (the “discount window”) plays an important role in supporting the liquidity and stability of the banking system and the effective implementation of monetary policy. By providing ready access to funding, the discount window helps depository institutions manage their liquidity risks efficiently and avoid actions that have negative consequences for their customers, such as withdrawing credit during times of market stress. Thus, the discount window supports the smooth flow of credit to households and businesses. Providing liquidity in this way is one of the original purposes of the Federal Reserve System and other central banks around the world.
​
The "Primary Credit" program is the principal safety valve for ensuring adequate liquidity in the banking system. Primary credit is priced relative to the FOMC’s target range for the federal funds rate and is normally granted on a “no-questions-asked,” minimally administered basis. There are no restrictions on borrowers’ use of primary credit.
​
https://www.frbdiscountwindow.org/Pages/General-Information/Primary-and-Secondary-Lending-Programs.aspx
Here are some examples of common borrowing situations:
  • Tight money markets or undue market volatility
  • Preventing an overnight overdraft
  • Meeting a need for funding, including a short-term liquidity demand that may arise from unexpected deposit withdrawals or a spike in loan demand
The introduction of the primary credit program in 2003 marked a fundamental shift - from administration to pricing - in the Federal Reserve's approach to discount window lending. Notably, eligible depository institutions may obtain primary credit without exhausting or even seeking funds from alternative sources. Minimal administration of and restrictions on the use of primary credit makes it a reliable funding source. Being prepared to borrow primary credit enhances an institution's liquidity.

Final thoughts on Primary Credit (for now):

I wonder which institution(s) are seeking “no-questions-asked” "no restrictions on borrowers’ use of primary credit." to the tune of to the tune of $152.85 billion this past week @ 4.75% up from 4.581B last week and up from 2.306B one year ago. This is a change of 3.24K% from last week and 6.53K% from one year ago.
The sudden rise in Primary Credit shows big players are trying to get as much liquidity backstop as possible and are increasing their borrowing from the Fed, happily paying 4.75% to borrow billions. These are not cheap loans...
I do wonder if this trickles down into Secondary and Seasonal Credit as this goes on?

Central Bank Liquidity Swaps ($.47 Billion--for now...)

In April 2009, the Federal Reserve announced foreign-currency liquidity swap lines with the Bank of England, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan, and the Swiss National Bank.
​
The Federal Reserve lines constitute a part of a network of bilateral swap lines among the six central banks, which allow for the provision of liquidity in each jurisdiction in any of the six currencies should central banks judge that market conditions warrant. In October 2013, the Federal Reserve and these central banks announced that their liquidity swap arrangements would be converted to standing arrangements that will remain in place until further notice.

How it works:

In general, these swaps involve two transactions. When a foreign central bank draws on its swap line with the Federal Reserve, the foreign central bank sells a specified amount of its currency to the Federal Reserve in exchange for dollars at the prevailing market exchange rate. The Federal Reserve holds the foreign currency in an account at the foreign central bank. The dollars that the Federal Reserve provides are deposited in an account that the foreign central bank maintains at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. At the same time, the Federal Reserve and the foreign central bank enter into a binding agreement for a second transaction that obligates the foreign central bank to buy back its currency on a specified future date at the same exchange rate. The second transaction unwinds the first. At the conclusion of the second transaction, the foreign central bank pays interest, at a market-based rate, to the Federal Reserve. Dollar liquidity swaps have maturities ranging from overnight to three months.
When the foreign central bank loans the dollars it obtains by drawing on its swap line to institutions in its jurisdiction, the dollars are transferred from the foreign central bank's account at the Federal Reserve to the account of the bank that the borrowing institution uses to clear its dollar transactions. The foreign central bank remains obligated to return the dollars to the Federal Reserve under the terms of the agreement, and the Federal Reserve is not a counterparty to the loan extended by the foreign central bank. The foreign central bank bears the credit risk associated with the loans it makes to institutions in its jurisdiction.
The foreign currency that the Federal Reserve acquires is an asset on the Federal Reserve's balance sheet. Because the swap is unwound at the same exchange rate that is used in the initial draw, the dollar value of the asset is not affected by changes in the market exchange rate. The dollar funds deposited in the accounts that foreign central banks maintains at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York are a Federal Reserve liability.

The Swiss National Bank has used it 6 times for 7-day swaps totaling $20.5 billion:

Back in September, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) used the long-standing swap line with the Fed for five 7-day swaps in a row. The largest swap amounted to $11.1 billion matured on October 27. Then again once more for a 7-day swap in December (matured on December 15th for $1,000,000).
https://preview.redd.it/5gqzfga3pwoa1.png?width=608&format=png&auto=webp&s=95dde3941baf18a32f4ccc2930a101a4c7ea3cf8

Last night, Coordinated central bank action to enhance the provision of U.S. dollar liquidity:

The Bank of Canada, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank, the Federal Reserve, and the Swiss National Bank are today announcing a coordinated action to enhance the provision of liquidity via the standing U.S. dollar liquidity swap line arrangements.To improve the swap lines' effectiveness in providing U.S. dollar funding, the central banks currently offering U.S. dollar operations have agreed to increase the frequency of 7-day maturity operations from weekly to daily. These daily operations will commence on Monday, March 20, 2023, and will continue at least through the end of April.
The network of swap lines among these central banks is a set of available standing facilities and serve as an important liquidity backstop to ease strains in global funding markets, thereby helping to mitigate the effects of such strains on the supply of credit to households and businesses.

Final thoughts on Central Bank Liquidity Swaps (for now):

increase the frequency of 7-day maturity operations from weekly to daily. These daily operations will commence on Monday, March 20, 2023, and will continue at least through the end of April.
It is going to be VERY curious to watch these numbers through the end of April. The SNB likely swapped $20.5 billion to provide short-term liquidity in September to Credit Suisse, right?!?!?! What about now?

Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) ($11.943 Billion, so far...):

https://preview.redd.it/wxmo7jgspwoa1.png?width=821&format=png&auto=webp&s=64d48296cae3c0b52d8758c99f2fa6f9de80d415
  • Borrower Eligibility: Any U.S. federally insured depository institution (including a bank, savings association, or credit union) or U.S. branch or agency of a foreign bank that is eligible for primary credit (see 12 CFR 201.4(a)) is eligible to borrow under the Program.
  • Banks can borrow for up to one year, at a fixed rate for the term, pegged to the one-year overnight index swap rate plus 10 basis points.
  • Banks have to post collateral (valued at par)
  • Any collateral has to be “owned by the borrower as of March 12, 2023."
  • Eligible collateral includes any collateral eligible for purchase by the Federal Reserve Banks in open market operations

As of March 15th, the Fed has dropped $11.943 Billion into this facility:

https://preview.redd.it/49ma62jyqwoa1.png?width=867&format=png&auto=webp&s=0a5bb1ff5495130ba05175082fddf232074c95e6

Final thoughts on BTFP (for now):

'Banks have to post collateral (valued at par)' is NUTS. From what I have been able to read, this is not how this typically goes down--usually there is a haircut, not 'valued at par'.
Any collateral has to be “owned by the borrower as of March 12, 2023." This should rule out banks buying securities at today's market prices and using them as collateral at the aforementioned ridiculous par.

“Other credit extensions” ($142.8 Billion, so far...):

Includes loans that were extended to depository institutions established by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC). The Federal Reserve Banks' loans to these depository institutions are secured by collateral and the FDIC provides repayment guarantees.

Final thoughts on "Other credit extensions" (for now):

The Fed has loaned the newly created FDIC banks for covering depositors in Silicon Valley Bank and Signature bank (so far): $142.8 Billion. This number will be interesting to watch as other banks teeter.

This not bailout is how much?!?! As of 3/15:

  • Primary Credit ($152.85 Billion)
  • Central Bank Liquidity Swaps ($.47 Billion)
  • Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) ($11.943 Billion)
  • “Other credit extensions” ($142.8 Billion)

Total (so far): $308.063 Billion

How the Fed is doing:

REMEMBER: none of this 'matters' to the Fed. The Fed creates its own money, and cannot become insolvent.
The above mentioned tools help its balance sheet as they are stored as assets. Especially as the Fed fights not being 'profitable' to the Treasury itself:
https://preview.redd.it/yqlsbu6rvwoa1.png?width=1647&format=png&auto=webp&s=977279cce00c7659ffa3311068549fca79c6b203
Again, the Fed is playing slight of hand here.
Storing losses (-41.067 billion as of 3/15/2023) on the balance sheet as an asset like what is happening above, rather than showing the loss on the income statement right away, is an old corporate accounting trick.
The Fed explains this in footnote:
The Federal Reserve Banks remit residual net earnings to the U.S. Treasury after providing for the costs of operations, payment of dividends, and the amount necessary to maintain each Federal Reserve Bank's allotted surplus cap. Positive amounts represent the estimated weekly remittances due to U.S. Treasury. Negative amounts represent the cumulative deferred asset position, which is incurred during a period when earnings are not sufficient to provide for the cost of operations, payment of dividends, and maintaining surplus. The deferred asset is the amount of net earnings that the Federal Reserve Banks need to realize before remittances to the U.S. Treasury resume.
In other words, each week going forward, the linked chart will show the Fed’s total losses starting from September 2022. The bigger the negative number, the bigger the accumulated loss.
So, 'wut mean'? This number will get bigger to indicate the amount of money the Fed owes the treasury (-41.067 billion and counting).
The Fed gets to just sit on this negative balance and when it starts making money for treasury again (from money it makes on interest and fees, lowering its operating expenses, paying less on dividends), will see that negative number start to shrink (in theory).
However, losses in the six months since September now total More than half of all the earnings the Fed remitted over the entire year of 2022 (-$41.067billions vs. $76.0 billion all of 2022):
The Federal Reserve Board announced preliminary financial information indicating that the Federal Reserve Banks had estimated net income of $58.4 billion in 2022.
During 2022, Reserve Banks transferred $76.0 billion from weekly earnings to the U.S. Treasury, and, in September 2022, most Reserve Banks suspended weekly remittances to the Treasury and started accumulating a deferred asset, which totaled $18.8 billion by the end of the year.

TLDRS:

This not bailout is how much?!?! As of 3/15:
  • Primary Credit ($152.85 Billion)
  • Central Bank Liquidity Swaps ($.47 Billion)
  • Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) ($11.943 Billion)
  • “Other credit extensions” ($142.8 Billion)
  • Total (so far): $308.063 Billion
None of this is supposed to have implications for the Federal Reserve's conduct of monetary policy or its ability to meet its financial obligations.
However, what this will mean for Treasury I am not sure--with the current debt ceiling nonsense seeing Yellen taking extraordinary measures to keep everything afloat through June. You can bet they wish the Fed was sending those weekly earnings while having to navigate this environment.
https://preview.redd.it/67y5k7zowwoa1.png?width=610&format=png&auto=webp&s=09c9b59338d09acbe10293e8d41ce166f91ea067
submitted by Dismal-Jellyfish to Superstonk [link] [comments]

2023.03.20 16:26 t-shinji Yojijukugo in Miku Kobato and Saiki’s lyrics

Image
In Song of Tokyo Episode 38 on 2023-03-20 JST, Miku Kobato explained her use of yojijukugo, Japanese idioms consisting of four kanji, in her lyrics.
A lot of our fans are studying Japanese. They enjoy it when we use kanji characters or four-character idioms.
Related discussions:
Her use of yojijukugo is musically important because she reduces syllables (moras to be precise) in them more often than in native Japanese words. Kanji (Chinese characters) were originally monosyllabic in Chinese but became mostly disyllabic in Japanese because of the Japanese phonology. However, they are still easier to reduce syllables than native Japanese words.
Below is a list of yojijukugo in Miku Kobato and Saiki’s lyrics, including idioms with five kanji. Note that some of them are not considered idioms but semantically transparent words such as “最短距離” (minimum distance).
Song Yojijukugo Romanization Syllables (standard) In the lyrics
YURAGU 脳内崩壊* nōnai hōkai 8 5
Don’t you tell ME 他言無用 tagon muyō 6 4
YOLO 存在価値 sonzai kachi 6 5
Take me higher!! 最短距離 saitan kyori 6 5
decided by myself 自分自身 jibun jishin 6 4
secret My lips 全身全霊 zenshin zenrei 8 4
secret My lips 自分自身 jibun jishin 6 5
I can’t live without you 思考回路 shikō kairo 6 6
DOMINATION 油断大敵 yudan taiteki 7 5
CLANG 予測不可能 yosoku fukanō 7 6
Alive-or-Dead 予測不能 yosoku funō 6 4
Liberal 不協和音 fukyōwaon 6 6
azure 一喜一憂 ikki ichiyū 7 5
azure 思考回路 shikō kairo 6 4
Catharsis 四方八方 shihō happō 7 5
Blooming 不妄語戒 fumōgokai 6 4
Different 昏天黒地 konten kokuchi 7 4
Warning! 緊急事態 kinkyū jitai 7 7
Warning! 一生懸命 isshō kenmei 8 4
NO GOD 紳士淑女 shinshi shukujo 6 5
Manners 限界突破 genkai toppa 7 4
Manners 試行錯誤 shikō sakugo 6 6
Manners 進展発起** shinten hokki 7 4
CHEMICAL REACTION 中途半端 chūto hanpa 6 6
CHEMICAL REACTION 信頼価値 shinrai kachi 6 5
Giovanni 傍若無人 bōjaku bujin 7 6
BLACK HOLE 不協和音 fukyōwaon 6 5
Sense 勇往邁進 yūōmaishin 8 4
influencer 喜怒哀楽 kidoairaku 6 6
influencer 希少価値 kishō kachi 5 5
influencer 正体不明 shōtai fumei 7 4
HATE? 自己顕示欲 jikokenjiyoku 7 7
* Slang
** Coined by Kobato
You can see that Kobato has been using yojijukugo intensively since Unseen World. When she was thinking of the two themes of the album, she couldn’t find a word that would be paired with “原点回帰” (“return to the roots”), so she coined the word “現点進化” (“progress from the present”) in the end.
[Translation] FM802 Bintang Garden Band-Maid “Radio Serving: Unseen World” (2021-02-06):
Kobato: Yeah, the concept of this album is a combination of the two themes “Return to the roots” [note: 原点回帰 in Japanese] and “Progress from the present” [note: 現点進化 in Japanese], po, and firstly, “Return to the roots”, meaning going back to the roots, is packed with songs we can write now with a little bit of our early-day taste, such as vocal harmony work, sound making, and the number of instrumental tracks that remind you of the early days of our eight-year history, po. And secondly, “Progress from the present” [note: a single word in Japanese] is probably an unfamiliar word for many of you, po. Because it’s a word created by me Kobato, po! (laughs) Po!
Saiki: Right.
Kobato: Yeah.
Saiki: There wasn’t an opposite word or a paired word for “Return to the roots”.
Kobato: There wasn’t, po. We looked for words, though. None of them felt right, po.
I guess she studied a lot of yojijukugo then. The last Unseen World song she wrote lyrics to was Manners, where she used three yojijukugo.
submitted by t-shinji to BandMaid [link] [comments]

2023.03.20 16:06 watches4321 [BLUE] Tudor Black Bay Fifty-Eight Blue (Ref M79030B-0001) - 100spots at $26/ea

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Item Name: Tudor Black Bay Fifty-Eight Blue (Ref M79030B-0001)
Price: $2600
# of Spots: 100
Previous Raffle $3000 raffled 2022-08-09
Price Justification: $2700 sold 2023-03-10
Price Justification: $2900 sold 2023-03-01
Price Justification: $2800 sold 2023-03-01
Price Justification: $2900 sold 2023-02-17
Call Spots? Yes
Spot limit per person? N/A
Location/Country? USA
Will ship international? USA Only
Timestamp/pics Album w/ Timestamp
Escrow Yes, u/watches4321 for u/ryancg12
Description Watch Info. Tudor Black Bay 58 Blue 79030B running great and is in good condition with light marks/scratches on bracelet & case. Crystal is in excellent condition with no scratches or chips. Bracelet has all links and this is a complete set with inner and outer box, outer sleeve, warranty card dated 12/2021 (still under factory warranty), plastic tag and booklets. Good luck!
HOW TO JOIN??:

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Tip BlobAndHisBoy
Number of vacant slots: 0
Number of unpaid users: 4
Number of unpaid slots: 5
This slot list is created and updated by The EDC Raffle Tool by BlobAndHisBoy.
1 SteelGeneral PAID
2 ScottieJ81 PAID
3 Fred011235 PAID
4 harleyheadcaseflhtc PAID
5 ScottieJ81 PAID
6 vilenrx PAID
7 ScottieJ81 PAID
8 watches4321 PAID
9 scalesntails12 PAID
10 foureyees PAID
11 Gboogie3 PAID
12 No-Flounder7167 PAID
13 Knife_Account PAID
14 lawdont-go-roundhere PAID
15 ScottieJ81 PAID
16 Danshu PAID
17 _godinez PAID
18 _Anthony_2825 PAID
19 Away-Passage-6268 PAID
20 watches4321 PAID
21 DrebinOfTheGreen
22 jsk3 PAID
23 mcmlxxivxxiii PAID
24 OrbitalGram PAID
25 Bosskz PAID
26 mcmlxxivxxiii PAID
27 milkeeway PAID
28 Knife_Account PAID
29 jsk3 PAID
30 bingobangobenzo
31 _Anthony_2825 PAID
32 Danshu PAID
33 TheGiggy86 PAID
34 foureyees PAID
35 mrcolin17 PAID
36 GMTtwotone PAID
37 vgfsirius PAID
38 Knife_Account PAID
39 vilenrx PAID
40 Formal_Depth9612 PAID
41 mrcolin17 PAID
42 rip93ford PAID
43 c736445 PAID
44 harleyheadcaseflhtc PAID
45 Maleficent-Oil-9150 PAID
46 Jig5 PAID
47 gorzaporp PAID
48 foureyees PAID
49 11b1p PAID
50 ScottieJ81 PAID
51 sleepingisstupid PAID
52 SonnnyC PAID
53 awpmanop
54 scalesntails12 PAID
55 tgandtm PAID
56 chaleboy20 PAID
57 vgfsirius PAID
58 _Anthony_2825 PAID
59 chaleboy20 PAID
60 bingobangobenzo
61 sleepingisstupid PAID
62 TheGiggy86 PAID
63 OrbitalGram PAID
64 TheGiggy86 PAID
65 WhatToysRUsDidToMe PAID
66 Formal_Depth9612 PAID
67 jmpath PAID
68 tu-tungz PAID
69 Mcthugget PAID
70 CDoggyDogg PAID
71 OrbitalGram PAID
72 itzshifty PAID
73 Formal_Depth9612 PAID
74 Knife_Account PAID
75 NAbsentia PAID
76 tgandtm PAID
77 Dmb3341 PAID
78 tylerbernath34 PAID
79 watches4321 PAID
80 your_username_here_
81 ScottieJ81 PAID
82 fiatjeepdriver_ PAID
83 tu-tungz PAID
84 sleepingisstupid PAID
85 wutqq PAID
86 tylerbernath34 PAID
87 Traditional_Day4287 PAID
88 watches4321 PAID
89 sleepingisstupid PAID
90 Maleficent-Oil-9150 PAID
91 NAbsentia PAID
92 gorzaporp PAID
93 hashtagbootyhole PAID
94 foureyees PAID
95 probablynotahobbit PAID
96 watches4321 PAID
97 itzshifty PAID
98 Natev2305 PAID
99 TheGiggy86 PAID
100 SteelGeneral PAID

submitted by watches4321 to WatchURaffle [link] [comments]

2023.03.20 15:34 ottawaagent The Ottawa Real Estate Market: Week In Review

Good morning ottawa and happy Monday to you all! All weekly updates can now be seen here. You can also track all new housing starts here. Lastly, you can also find the Ottawa Real Estate February Market report here.
I will continue to post this weeks information every Monday, but if you would like to see further back, please refer to the link above for the archived stats.
Below are the stats for both freehold, condominium and rental properties over the past several days in Ottawa. The average/median list price is for the sold/rented properties and all of these numbers reflect stats within Ottawa proper and do not cover areas such as Perth, Arnprior, Smith Falls, Brockville etc.
Freehold
Condos
Rental
If you don't want to miss these updates as well as my AMAs, please subscribe to my page. Have a wonderful week!
Nick
submitted by ottawaagent to ottawa [link] [comments]

2023.03.20 15:21 CoCagRa [NM] Sdcc Bounty Hunter Cube Dudes(nm discount free shipping) - 100 spots at $3/ea

Item Name Set Number:Sdcc Bounty Hunter Cube Dudes
Lego Price:$320 (nm discount to $300)
Shipping: ( 1 lbs, 72034 AR to 97211 OR ) $ UPS FREE SHIPPING
Raffle Total/Spots:$300, 100 @ $3
Price justification:be
Call spots: Y
Spot limit per person:n
Duration of spot limit:n/a
Location(Country): usa
Will ship international: Y, winner pays difference, HI and AK pay difference
Timestamp: https://imgur.com/a/Qt4KiPO
Description: pre brickheadz CubeDudes bounty hunters sdcc 2010…limited to 2000
Payment required w/in 14 minutes of raffle filling.
PayPal payments are to be Friends and Family only with NO COMMENTS. Comments will result in a permanent ban
PayPal info: No, pm me if you really need to and I’ll get you my PP
CAshApp: $flaxlight

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Tip BlobAndHisBoy
Number of vacant slots: 44
Number of unpaid users: 9
Number of unpaid slots: 40
This slot list is created and updated by The EDC Raffle Tool by BlobAndHisBoy.
1 ssj3dvp11
2 bigdisneyguy
3 chitownkid81
4 vangobroom97
5
6 rafikiwock PAID
7 Available_War941
8 chitownkid81
9 rafikiwock PAID
10
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12 robob280
13 DerBengel PAID
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16 Available_War941
17 bigdisneyguy
18
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20 vangobroom97
21 rafikiwock PAID
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23 chitownkid81
24 bigdisneyguy
25 lukemfrank
26 pelicano234
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29 rafikiwock PAID
30 rafikiwock PAID
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35 pelicano234
36 chitownkid81
37 bigdisneyguy
38 pelicano234
39 lukemfrank
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41 robob280
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43 nik0nguy601 PAID
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47 bigdisneyguy
48 bigdisneyguy
49 bigdisneyguy
50 ssj3dvp11
51 chitownkid81
52 chitownkid81
53 rafikiwock PAID
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56 chitownkid81
57 Available_War941
58 nik0nguy601 PAID
59
60 lukemfrank
61 robob280
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65 rafikiwock PAID
66 Nate-doge1 PAID
67 nik0nguy601 PAID
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69 SaveTheSticks PAID
70 legoislifey
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74 Available_War941
75 rafikiwock PAID
76 rafikiwock PAID
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81 lukemfrank
82 Available_War941
83 rafikiwock PAID
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92 lukemfrank
93 legoislifey
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95 lukemfrank
96 lukemfrank
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98 chitownkid81
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100 ssj3dvp11

submitted by CoCagRa to lego_raffles [link] [comments]

2023.03.20 15:14 ZappBrannigansLaw [NM] Builders Blacksmith - 71spots @ $3/ea

Item Name Set Number: Ideas Blacksmith (21325)
Lego Price: $180 + $10Tax= $190
Shipping: 22x16x6, 10lbs, 54729 to 92114 = $38. AK and HI winners pay difference
Raffle Total/Spots: $228 / 76 spots
Price justification:Lego.com
Call spots: Y
Spot limit per person: N
Duration of spot limit: N/A
Location(Country): USA
Will ship international: N
Timestamp pics: https://imgur.com/a/yOFfrVe
Description: See pics. Seals are intact, but the box looks like it was delivered by Ace Ventura
Payment required w/in 15 minutes of raffle filling.
PayPal payments are to be Friends and Family only with NO COMMENTS. CashApp payments should have NO COMMENTS. Comments will result in a permanent ban

PayPal Info: PM Me
Cash App Info: https://cash.app
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Tip BlobAndHisBoy
Number of vacant slots: 34
Number of unpaid users: 6
Number of unpaid slots: 20
This slot list is created and updated by The EDC Raffle Tool by BlobAndHisBoy.
1 vangobroom97
2 DTURPLESMITH
3 Zatara26 PAID
4
5 DTURPLESMITH
6
7 Kyssal PAID
8 Survivor2318 PAID
9
10 Survivor2318 PAID
11 Kyssal PAID
12 robob280
13 DerBengel PAID
14 SaveTheSticks PAID
15
16
17 DTURPLESMITH
18
19 nik0nguy601 PAID
20
21 AccurateSpare
22
23 Zatara26 PAID
24 Survivor2318 PAID
25 DTURPLESMITH
26
27
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29 ssj3dvp11
30 Survivor2318 PAID
31
32 dosha906 PAID
33
34 CheapClueSlip PAID
35 dosha906 PAID
36
37 bowardboolin
38 DTURPLESMITH
39 bowardboolin
40 PurpleMARL PAID
41 PurpleMARL PAID
42 Kyssal PAID
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44 DTURPLESMITH
45 ssj3dvp11
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53 DTURPLESMITH
54
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57 DTURPLESMITH
58 nik0nguy601 PAID
59
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63 DTURPLESMITH
64 Survivor2318 PAID
65 SaveTheSticks PAID
66 bowardboolin
67
68 PurpleMARL PAID
69
70 Kyssal PAID
71 vangobroom97
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73 robob280
74
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76 DTURPLESMITH

submitted by ZappBrannigansLaw to lego_raffles [link] [comments]